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Glossary

Key terms used across this site, in plain language.

A–Z

Availability
The share of time a product is on the shelf when customers want it.
Back-testing
Evaluating a forecasting method by predicting past periods and comparing with actual sales.
Bias
A systematic tendency of forecasts to be too high or too low.
Best before
A date label indicating quality; food may still be safe after it.
Demand forecasting
Estimating future customer demand for products.
External regressor
An outside variable, such as temperature, used to explain demand in a model.
Food loss
Food lost between harvest and retail.
Food waste
Food wasted at retail, food service and household level.
Footfall
The number of people entering or passing a store.
Lead time
Time between placing an order and stock being available.
Markdown
A price reduction, often applied to products near the end of their shelf life.
MAPE
Mean absolute percentage error, a forecast accuracy metric.
Perishable
A product with a short shelf life, such as fresh produce, bakery, dairy or meat.
Replenishment
The process of reordering and restocking products.
Safety stock
Extra stock held to protect against uncertainty in demand and supply.
Seasonality
Patterns in demand that repeat over a fixed period such as a week or year.
Shrink
Loss of inventory from waste, damage, theft or errors.
SKU
Stock keeping unit: a distinct product variant tracked in inventory.
Stockout
A situation where a product is not available for customers to buy.
Time series
Observations recorded in time order, such as daily sales.
Trend
The long-run direction of a time series.
Use by
A date label related to safety; food should not be eaten after it.
WAPE
Weighted absolute percentage error: total absolute error divided by total actual sales.

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